Ayr United vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
MHE
6 - 0
AYR
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
AYR
1 - 2
HOM
26%
22%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
CWB
1 - 1
AYR
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
AYR
0 - 2
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
CEL
4 - 2
AYR
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
TLA
6 - 1
DUN
43%
23%
35%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
STM
1 - 1
TLA
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
HOM
2 - 3
TLA
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
TLA
5 - 2
AIR
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
PAR
0 - 0
TLA
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |