Ayr United vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
AYR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
4 - 1
STE
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
AYR
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
4 - 1
CWB
61%
20%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
STE
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
PET
0 - 0
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 1
STR
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |