Ayr United vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
AYR
1 - 1
QUE
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
QUE
0 - 3
AYR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AYR
4 - 2
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ALL
3 - 2
AYR
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AYR
2 - 2
RAI
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
STR
0 - 3
PET
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STR
1 - 3
ALL
33%
25%
43%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PET
1 - 0
STR
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
STR
1 - 5
ARB
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
STR
0 - 3
BRE
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |