Ayr United vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 3
AYR
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
AYR
1 - 1
STI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
RAI
3 - 2
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
AYR
2 - 0
PET
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
EAS
3 - 0
AYR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
STI
3 - 2
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
STR
0 - 2
RAI
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
QUE
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
EAS
1 - 2
STR
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
STR
2 - 2
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |