Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 0
ICT
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 2
FAL
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 0
RAI
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 2
HAM
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 0
RAI
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 1
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
QOS
1 - 3
RAI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 0
RAI
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 0
FAL
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |