Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis

Ayr United Raith Rovers
61 ELO 58
6.2% Tilt 7.5%
800º General ELO ranking 1103º
14º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Ayr United
23.3%
Draw
19.2%
Raith Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.2%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ayr United
-3%
+2%
Raith Rovers

ELO progression

Ayr United
Raith Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 0
Inverness CT
ICT
28%
24%
48%
59 71 12 0
20 Aug. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
42%
27%
32%
59 64 5 0
13 Aug. 2011
DUN
Dundee
1 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
58%
23%
19%
60 66 6 -1
09 Aug. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
46%
25%
29%
59 61 2 +1
06 Aug. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 2
Hamilton Academical
HAM
44%
26%
30%
60 63 3 -1

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2011
AIR
Airdrieonians
2 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
40%
24%
36%
59 53 6 0
20 Aug. 2011
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
47%
26%
28%
59 59 0 0
13 Aug. 2011
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 3
Raith Rovers
RAI
53%
24%
23%
59 58 1 0
09 Aug. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
46%
25%
29%
61 59 2 -2
06 Aug. 2011
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
39%
28%
34%
61 65 4 0