Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 2
AYR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
AYR
1 - 2
PET
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALL
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
STI
1 - 0
AYR
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
STI
2 - 2
RAI
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ALL
1 - 1
RAI
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
RAI
0 - 1
GRE
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 1
RAI
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
RAI
1 - 0
FOR
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |