Ayr United vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
AYR
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
AYR
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
CWB
4 - 2
AYR
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 1
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PET
3 - 0
AYR
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PET
5 - 1
ALB
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PET
0 - 0
DUN
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
STR
1 - 5
PET
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
PET
4 - 1
STE
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 4
PET
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |