Ayr United vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 2
AYR
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 2
AYR
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
AYR
5 - 2
STE
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 2
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ROS
2 - 0
AYR
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PET
2 - 3
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CWB
2 - 2
PET
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PET
1 - 1
ALB
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 0
PET
40%
25%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PET
2 - 1
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |