Ayr United vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 1
AYR
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
QOS
2 - 3
AYR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
AYR
0 - 2
STR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 0
AYR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
AYR
2 - 1
LIV
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CWB
4 - 2
PET
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
PET
0 - 4
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PET
0 - 1
RAI
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
MON
2 - 0
PET
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
ALL
1 - 1
PET
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |