Ayr United vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
DUN
5 - 4
AYR
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1934 |
CEL
7 - 0
AYR
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1934 |
AYR
1 - 0
STM
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1934 |
FAL
8 - 1
AYR
59%
18%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1934 |
STJ
4 - 0
AYR
62%
18%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
HIB
2 - 2
AIR
50%
21%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1934 |
HIB
2 - 0
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1934 |
HIB
1 - 1
MHE
22%
20%
58%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1934 |
DUN
2 - 1
HIB
45%
24%
32%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1934 |
ALB
2 - 0
HIB
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |