Ayr United vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1925 |
DUN
1 - 0
AYR
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
STM
1 - 0
AYR
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
AYR
1 - 2
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1925 |
PAR
2 - 0
AYR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
AYR
1 - 2
CWB
65%
19%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1925 |
HIB
3 - 0
RAI
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
HIB
4 - 1
CWB
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
MHE
1 - 1
HIB
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
HIB
5 - 1
TLA
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1925 |
CEL
1 - 1
HIB
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |