Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
HOM
2 - 3
AYR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
AYR
1 - 0
QOS
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
QOS
1 - 2
AYR
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
GRE
0 - 2
AYR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 1980 |
AYR
1 - 2
GRE
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
HOM
0 - 1
GRE
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
HOM
0 - 2
CEL
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
KIL
0 - 1
HOM
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
HOM
2 - 3
AYR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
MON
1 - 3
HOM
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |