Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1972 |
MHE
2 - 2
AYR
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1972 |
AYR
4 - 0
EAS
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
CEL
2 - 0
AYR
81%
12%
6%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1972 |
AYR
0 - 0
STJ
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1972 |
CLY
3 - 0
AYR
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1972 |
GRE
1 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1972 |
HOM
0 - 0
MHE
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
EAS
2 - 2
HOM
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1972 |
HOM
2 - 1
KIL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1972 |
AIR
1 - 1
HOM
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |