Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
GLA
2 - 0
AYR
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
ABE
4 - 1
AYR
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
AYR
1 - 0
DUN
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
STM
0 - 2
AYR
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
AYR
1 - 1
FAL
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
HOM
1 - 3
ABE
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
45%
25%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
DUN
4 - 1
HOM
60%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
75%
18%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
FAL
2 - 4
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |