Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
51.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
HAM
0 - 3
AYR
74%
13%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
AYR
6 - 2
GRE
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1938 |
GLA
2 - 2
AYR
76%
13%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1938 |
ABE
4 - 0
AYR
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
AYR
1 - 0
QOS
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
PAR
3 - 1
HOM
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 4
CEL
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1938 |
HOM
1 - 0
FAL
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |