Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
56.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1935 |
ARB
3 - 1
AYR
46%
21%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
ABE
3 - 0
AYR
64%
17%
19%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
AYR
1 - 3
KIL
49%
22%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1935 |
AYR
1 - 0
MHE
28%
20%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1935 |
ALB
5 - 1
AYR
41%
21%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
HOM
2 - 1
ARB
85%
10%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
DUN
2 - 5
HOM
49%
21%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1935 |
QUE
2 - 2
HOM
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1935 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1935 |
AIR
3 - 1
HOM
29%
20%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |