Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1933 |
GLA
9 - 1
AYR
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1933 |
ABE
8 - 0
AYR
71%
15%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1933 |
AYR
4 - 2
AIR
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1933 |
STM
3 - 1
AYR
69%
16%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
AYR
6 - 0
DUN
26%
22%
52%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1933 |
HOM
6 - 0
STM
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1933 |
HOM
2 - 1
STJ
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1933 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
35%
22%
43%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
HOM
1 - 1
CLY
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1933 |
HOM
3 - 2
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |