Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
55.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
ABE
5 - 0
AYR
77%
13%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1933 |
AYR
2 - 3
KIL
51%
20%
29%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
AYR
3 - 3
GLA
26%
21%
53%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
QUE
4 - 1
AYR
70%
15%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1932 |
AYR
0 - 1
CEL
32%
23%
45%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
HOM
0 - 0
STM
62%
19%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1933 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1933 |
HOM
3 - 1
CWB
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
AIR
2 - 7
HOM
24%
21%
55%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
HOM
1 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |