Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1919 |
DUM
1 - 1
AYR
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1919 |
AYR
0 - 2
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1919 |
GRE
1 - 1
AYR
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1919 |
AYR
1 - 1
GLA
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1919 |
HIB
0 - 1
AYR
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1919 |
HOM
3 - 1
QUE
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1919 |
STM
3 - 3
HOM
36%
24%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1919 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUM
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1919 |
HOM
2 - 3
CEL
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1919 |
HOM
1 - 1
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |