Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1916 |
KIL
1 - 2
AYR
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1916 |
AYR
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1916 |
PAR
3 - 0
AYR
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1916 |
AYR
0 - 1
TLA
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1916 |
AYR
4 - 1
FAL
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1916 |
HOM
2 - 1
TLA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1916 |
AIR
3 - 2
HOM
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1916 |
HOM
1 - 3
GLA
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1916 |
GRE
3 - 2
HOM
57%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1916 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |