Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
TLA
2 - 1
AYR
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
AYR
2 - 0
GLA
35%
24%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
AYR
1 - 0
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
HIB
0 - 4
AYR
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
AYR
0 - 2
STM
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
HOM
2 - 2
QUE
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
DUM
3 - 2
HOM
27%
23%
51%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |