Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
HAM
0 - 1
AYR
49%
23%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
AYR
3 - 0
EDI
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 0
AYR
13%
18%
69%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ICT
2 - 2
AYR
53%
24%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 0
QOS
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
EDI
3 - 0
FAL
39%
25%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FAL
1 - 2
HAM
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
FAL
5 - 1
ALB
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
AIR
2 - 0
FAL
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FAL
1 - 2
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |