Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
QOS
5 - 0
AYR
31%
25%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AYR
4 - 1
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
AYR
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 0
AYR
13%
17%
70%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ICT
0 - 0
AYR
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 1
CON
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 0
FAL
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 3
QOS
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
RAN
1 - 2
FAL
10%
17%
73%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
FAL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |