Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
AYR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HIB
1 - 2
AYR
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AYR
3 - 2
AIR
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
FAL
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
AYR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 1
DUN
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RAI
0 - 2
FAL
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FAL
6 - 1
ELG
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |