Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 0
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 3
AYR
58%
21%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
AYR
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 2
AYR
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
AYR
62%
19%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
3 - 1
GRE
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 1
FAL
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
3 - 0
CLY
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CLY
1 - 2
FAL
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FAL
4 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |