Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 0
RAI
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 2
HAM
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 3
AYR
22%
22%
57%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 0
QOS
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FAL
2 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 0
FAL
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 4
FAL
24%
26%
51%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
FAL
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |