Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 0
RAI
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
FAL
0 - 0
AYR
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 1
CLY
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 1
STJ
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
STM
4 - 1
AYR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
QOS
1 - 0
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
FAL
0 - 0
AYR
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ICT
0 - 0
FAL
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FAL
1 - 0
STM
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 1
FAL
29%
25%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |