Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
HOM
3 - 0
AYR
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
AYR
3 - 2
MHE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
74%
16%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
AYR
2 - 3
ABE
37%
27%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
EAS
2 - 2
AYR
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
FAL
0 - 0
STJ
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
FAL
1 - 3
HOM
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
MHE
1 - 1
FAL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUN
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
ABE
2 - 2
FAL
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |