Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
AYR
3 - 3
MHE
28%
22%
51%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
AYR
1 - 1
CEL
29%
22%
49%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1937 |
PAR
6 - 2
AYR
62%
18%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
HIB
3 - 0
AYR
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1937 |
AYR
1 - 1
TLA
41%
22%
38%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
FAL
3 - 1
TLA
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
CEL
2 - 0
FAL
68%
17%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
FAL
0 - 0
HIB
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1937 |
DUN
1 - 4
FAL
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
FAL
3 - 1
STJ
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |