Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17%
18.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
HAM
3 - 0
AYR
72%
15%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
AYR
3 - 1
CLY
61%
18%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
KIL
3 - 5
AYR
68%
16%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1932 |
MHE
3 - 1
AYR
78%
13%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
AYR
0 - 1
GRE
65%
17%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
FAL
1 - 2
PAR
49%
21%
30%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
DUN
3 - 0
FAL
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
FAL
2 - 2
MHE
31%
22%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1932 |
ABE
8 - 2
FAL
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
AIR
1 - 0
FAL
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |