Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AYR
4 - 3
STE
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
AYR
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
AYR
3 - 6
STR
57%
21%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AYR
3 - 2
QUE
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AIR
0 - 1
AYR
43%
23%
35%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AIR
0 - 3
DUN
27%
23%
51%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 2
STE
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
GLA
3 - 1
DUN
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ELG
3 - 5
DUN
43%
22%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |