Ayr United vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 1
AYR
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 4
FAL
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
HIB
3 - 1
AYR
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 0
RAI
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 2
STM
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUM
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DUM
4 - 0
RAI
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DUN
5 - 1
DUM
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 2
AYR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |