Ayr United vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
AYR
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
AYR
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
RAI
1 - 1
AYR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DUM
2 - 1
FAL
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 0
DUM
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 1
BRA
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
QOS
1 - 2
DUM
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
DUM
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |