Ayr United vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
AYR
0 - 0
HOM
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
ABE
0 - 0
AYR
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1920 |
HOM
4 - 1
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
AYR
1 - 2
AIR
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
QUE
3 - 0
AYR
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
HIB
2 - 0
DUM
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
DUM
0 - 4
ALB
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1920 |
QUE
3 - 0
DUM
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
HAM
1 - 1
DUM
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1920 |
CLY
2 - 1
DUM
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |