Ayr United vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
AYR
4 - 1
EAS
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 2
AYR
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
GLA
2 - 1
AYR
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
AYR
53%
22%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
CWB
1 - 1
QOS
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RAI
1 - 2
CWB
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CWB
4 - 0
LIV
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
4 - 0
CWB
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FAL
5 - 0
CWB
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |