Ayr United vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.9%
8.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
DUN
3 - 0
AYR
63%
17%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
AYR
4 - 2
BRE
63%
17%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1957 |
CWB
1 - 1
AYR
51%
20%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1957 |
AYR
4 - 1
DUN
60%
19%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 1957 |
BRE
5 - 2
AYR
54%
18%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
BRE
7 - 1
CWB
62%
17%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
CWB
2 - 5
DUN
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1957 |
CWB
1 - 1
AYR
51%
20%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1957 |
CWB
1 - 1
BRE
55%
19%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1957 |
DUN
1 - 1
CWB
74%
14%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |