Ayr United vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
PAR
7 - 0
AYR
72%
15%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
STJ
4 - 0
AYR
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
AYR
0 - 1
FAL
65%
17%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
HAM
3 - 0
AYR
72%
15%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
AYR
3 - 1
CLY
61%
18%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
CWB
4 - 1
DUN
34%
24%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
HAM
10 - 2
CWB
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
CWB
0 - 3
ABE
39%
23%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
CLY
2 - 1
CWB
47%
21%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
CWB
2 - 3
GLA
35%
23%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |