Ayr United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 0
AYR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 1
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AYR
3 - 0
BRE
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 3
AYR
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 4
QOS
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 0
ARB
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
QOS
2 - 1
ARB
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ARB
3 - 1
BRE
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |