Ayr United U20 vs Dumbarton U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
CLY
0 - 2
AYR
15%
18%
66%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 0
AYR
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
AYR
3 - 2
QPA
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
AYR
4 - 2
QSO
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
AYR
47%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 1
CLY
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 3
DUM
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 1
STU
54%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
DUM
3 - 3
QPA
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
QSO
7 - 1
DUM
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |