Ayr United U20 vs Dumbarton U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
CLY
1 - 2
AYR
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
QPA
0 - 3
AYR
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
AIR
7 - 1
AYR
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 1
GRE
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 3
CLY
80%
13%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
DUM
5 - 2
ANA
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 0
DUM
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
DUM
0 - 2
QPA
20%
21%
58%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
CLY
1 - 3
DUM
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
DUM
0 - 2
AYR
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |