Aylesbury vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
KEM
2 - 1
AYL
24%
23%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
AYL
54%
24%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
AYL
2 - 3
ROY
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 2
STI
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
AYL
2 - 2
AYL
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 1
PET
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 2
LEI
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BED
4 - 0
CHA
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
EGH
34%
25%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
POT
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |