Aylesbury vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
UXB
3 - 0
AYL
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AYL
0 - 1
BIG
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AYL
2 - 1
FLE
50%
22%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
DAV
3 - 0
AYL
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AFH
3 - 3
AYL
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
RUG
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SLO
1 - 1
CHA
76%
14%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DAV
1 - 1
CHA
45%
23%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ASH
0 - 0
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
UXB
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |