Aylesbury vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
74.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ARL
0 - 2
AYL
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
KEM
2 - 0
AYL
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
HAR
4 - 0
AYL
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AYL
0 - 3
HAN
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
AYL
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MON
2 - 4
BEA
23%
20%
57%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
HAN
1 - 5
BEA
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BEA
7 - 0
ARL
89%
9%
3%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BEA
1 - 1
RUS
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 3
BEA
17%
20%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |