Aylesbury vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PET
3 - 2
AYL
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 0
LEI
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 3
AYL
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KIN
2 - 0
AYL
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 3
AYL
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEA
5 - 0
NOR
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAN
1 - 4
BEA
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BEA
1 - 1
WAR
57%
21%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
PET
1 - 2
BEA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ROY
2 - 2
BEA
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |