Aylesbury vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
AYL
51%
24%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AYL
1 - 0
POT
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
AYL
0 - 0
RUG
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ROY
2 - 0
AYL
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
AYL
3 - 1
AYL
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
ROY
3 - 1
BEA
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BEA
0 - 1
CHE
86%
11%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
BEA
2 - 3
DUN
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 4
BEA
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
AYL
2 - 0
BEA
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |