Aylesbury vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
AYL
0 - 1
BED
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AYL
1 - 3
ASH
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ARL
4 - 0
AYL
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
WOD
2 - 5
AYL
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
UXB
1 - 3
AYL
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WOD
1 - 0
BEA
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BEA
4 - 3
AFH
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
RUG
1 - 1
BEA
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BEA
1 - 2
ATH
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 2
BEA
73%
17%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +2 |