Aylesbury vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COL
2 - 0
AYL
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
AYL
0 - 0
EGH
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AYL
2 - 3
NOR
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
AYL
0 - 4
BED
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
RUS
7 - 1
AYL
87%
10%
3%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AFD
1 - 4
BRO
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
AFD
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AFD
6 - 1
HAN
85%
11%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
BEA
4 - 0
AFD
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BED
0 - 2
AFD
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |