Aylesbury vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
KID
2 - 3
AYL
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 1
BED
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 3
AYL
43%
26%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 1
AYL
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASH
1 - 0
AYL
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BED
2 - 1
AFD
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 0
AYL
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AFD
1 - 7
HAM
13%
18%
68%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AFD
3 - 1
NOR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 1
HEY
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |