Aylesbury United vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 2
AYL
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AYL
2 - 1
NOR
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
KID
3 - 4
AYL
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
AYL
3 - 0
AYL
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UXB
1 - 1
AYL
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
EGH
3 - 4
AFD
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
HIS
2 - 1
AFD
21%
21%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AFD
4 - 0
CHA
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
AFD
1 - 2
KEM
54%
21%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 1
AFD
79%
13%
9%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |