AYL vs Victory SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AYL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
THO
1 - 8
AYL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AYL
1 - 2
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
AYL
0 - 0
THO
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
AYL
0 - 1
MAZ
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CVA
3 - 1
AYL
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Victory SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
VSC
4 - 2
CVA
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
MAZ
1 - 2
VSC
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
VSC
1 - 3
VBA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
VSC
4 - 2
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
VBA
2 - 1
VSC
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |